Archive for the ‘housing recovery’ Category

Renting vs Buying - To Maintain or Not to Maintain?

Thursday, July 9th, 2009

My former neighbor is a genius. Two years ago, he sold his Bay Area house for a very fat profit, and for the first time in 20 years, he and his wife became renters. His profit for owning the house for three years was tax-free, and was probably equal to the 35% that the house subsequently declined in value. This definitely fits the old expression of “having your cake and eating it.”

But wait a minute. There’s much more to the renting versus buying debate than money—particularly now since we are no long in the era of “Your house is your ATM”. Homeownership has reverted back to the warm and fuzzy “this is my castle” mentality. Conversely, a rental house (or apartment) is owned by someone else, and you as a renter, are given the limited rights of tenancy. True, someone else has to mow the lawn, fix the leaky roof, and apply paint to the peeling siding. Whether this gets done or not usually depends upon the motivation of the landlord.

Often when you drive through a neighborhood, you can spot the rental homes. They are the ones with the unkempt landscaping, cars in various states of repair in the driveway, and a few shingles missing from the roof. Persons who own their own homes tend to maintain them, while a renter has little motivation to do so. For many, renting is a short term proposition until they save enough for a down payment to buy a house. For others, it’s a lifelong perceived escape from home maintenance.

However, proper and routine home maintenance doesn’t have to fall somewhere between having a root canal and a 24/7 migraine. The key is to know what to do, and when to do it (or have it done by experts). When I wrote The National Home Maintenance Manual, I had the homeowner in mind who would rather play golf, go fishing or attend a concert. Everything in the book is laid out according to the components of the house, and the maintenance chart tells you when to do it and how difficult it is to do. And if that’s not enough, our website www.HouseFixIt.com has a free, downloadable 10 year schedule of home maintenance tasks. This enables you, as a homeowner, to plan your time and create a budget so you don’t get hit with unpleasant surprises down the road.

One of the great strengths of America has been that the middle class has been able to afford home ownership. The decline in property values over the past 24 months can be viewed as a positive adjustment to affordability.

The Great American Crapshoot

Tuesday, February 24th, 2009

“Man is the only animal who can be skinned twice” …Will Rogers

Well, it’s a done deal. The Stimulus Bill has been signed into law and now the waiting game begins to see if it will work as intended. We all hope that it will, for the entire world economy is dependent upon the financial health of the United States. The “talking heads” have marveled at how fast the bill went through Congress, which is reminiscent of how fast George Bush was able to convince Congress to declare war on Iraq. There is a valued old saying, “sin in haste, repent at leisure”. Remember that no one who created the Stimulus Bill was alive during the Great Depression, so we are relying upon textbooks and theories at this point.

Now, the next leg of the recovery plan must be to repair the housing industry. The housing industry lead the down cycle in what typically appeared to be another recession that comes along every 5 years or so. And these recessions generally last from 18 months to 3 years. What went wrong this time? Three major factors come to mind:

  • Mortgage Markets Run Amuck. It wasn’t just Fannie and Freddie buying the loans from borrowers who never should have qualified, it was also the jumbo loan servicing companies who knew they could pass along this junk paper to the next “Greater Fool” and Wall Street was ready to assist with this effort by bundling and securitizing mortgages;
  • Bankers Behaving Badly. The traditional bank policy of foreclosing on defaulted property has backfired. Because of the sheer volume of foreclosures, the foreclosed asset cannot be resold for any amount resembling the original loan principal. This compounds the banks’ losses, and gives rise to frequent trips to the Treasury for more taxpayer money. Slowly, lenders are realizing that keeping owners in their homes at lower interest rates is a far better business plan than the losses they realize upon foreclosure;
  • Unrestrained Consumer Greed. The credit card companies play the enabler role in this scenario too. Too many teaser rate credit card offers, too many “must have” cheap goods from China, and the belief by many homeowners that their house was a perpetual ATM.

Who’s to blame?  Forget it.  Putting Bernie Madoff in prison isn’t going to restore investor or consumer confidence in our system. Running the government printing presses to flood the world with paper currency won’t help much either. The real key to recovery is the belief by the consumer that when I wake up tomorrow, I’ll still have my job and a roof over my head. It’s largely psychological because 90% of Americans currently have both. However, “what if” is the Boogie Man gnawing on the human psyche, and that is going to take a long time to repair.